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PublishedUpdatedByEvidence recordWaveTrendindicatorparametersbacktestUSD/JPY

WaveTrend Settings and Timeframes: 30 Settings Tested

30 WaveTrend settings backtested on USD/JPY across 2025 and 2024. All 30 were profitable on hourly bars in 2025, and the default placed second of them.

WaveTrend settings profitable in both 2024 and 2025 numbered 29 of 30 on four-hour bars, 24 on hourly and none on 15-minute. All 30 were profitable on hourly bars in 2025. These are USD/JPY results for combinations of the channel and average periods.

Backtest this setup

WaveTrend measures how far the bar midpoint has moved from its own average, divided by the typical size of that gap. Standardizing the deviation gives two lines, and their crossings are the signal.

M15H1H4OsMA13/5454/5422/54AC0/2724/2716/27Stoch RSI0/363/3630/36STC10/7249/7236/72WaveTrend0/3024/3029/30Squeeze Momentum29/4524/451/45
half or more profitable in both yearsunder half profitable in both yearssettings profitable in both 2024 and 2025 / settings tested
No indicator had half or more of its settings profitable in both years on all three timeframes. Indicators at half or more: 1 of 6 on M15, 5 of 6 on H1, 4 of 6 on H4.

Which timeframe does WaveTrend work on?

Not the 15-minute chart, where no setting was profitable in both years. These are USD/JPY trades in 2024 and 2025, buying when wt1 crosses above wt2 and selling when it crosses below, held until the opposite crossover, at a 0.3-pip spread; wt1 and wt2 are the two lines built from the standardized deviation.

TimeframeYearProfitable settingsMedian annual netMedian annual trades
15-minute20252 / 30−2,142 pips3,598
15-minute20241 / 30−953 pips—
1-hour202530 / 30+2,466 pips838
1-hour202424 / 30+1,185 pips—
4-hour202529 / 30+1,318 pips224
4-hour202430 / 30+1,566 pips—

At 3,600 trades a year, only one of 30 made money in 2024 on 15-minute bars, and none survived both years. A 0.3 pip spread costs about 1,080 pips at that count, and nothing here earned past it.

Hourly and four-hour results were much stronger. On four-hour bars, 29 of 30 settings were profitable in both years.

Is the 10/21 default good enough?

The two years disagreed.

SettingYearAnnual net
Default 10/212025+3,283.4 pips
Default 10/212024+1,076.6 pips
2025 maximum, 20/152025+3,496.9 pips
2025 maximum, 20/152024+606.9 pips
2024 maximum, 30/302025+2,248.7 pips
2024 maximum, 30/302024+2,938.9 pips
2025 minimum, 5/102025+1,339.6 pips
2025 minimum, 5/102024−1,266.5 pips

The 2025 difference is 213.5 pips. In 2024, the default finished 469.7 pips ahead of 20/15. One year did not justify changing away from the default.

The smallest hourly result in 2025 was still +1,339.6 pips. The same 5/10 setting lost −1,266.5 pips in 2024.

Does four-hour tell the same story?

There the default was profitable in both years.

SettingYearAnnual net
Default 10/212025+1,262.2 pips
Default 10/212024+1,373.5 pips
2025 maximum, 20/212025+2,476.8 pips
2025 maximum, 20/212024+506.1 pips
2024 maximum, 5/102025+1,232.4 pips
2024 maximum, 5/102024+3,321.3 pips
2025 minimum, 30/452025−98.2 pips
2025 minimum, 30/452024+1,009.8 pips

The default produced +1,262.2 pips in 2025 and +1,373.5 pips in 2024. The 30/45 setting changed sign, from −98.2 pips to +1,009.8 pips.

Can win rate pick the setting?

It cannot. Across the 30 hourly settings in 2025, win rates ran from 33.48% to 39.45%, while annual net ranged from +1,339.6 to +3,496.9 pips.

On 15-minute bars, 28 of 30 settings lost money in 2025. The 3,598-trade median and its cost matter more than a higher win rate.

Adding WaveTrend to a chart

PlatformHow to add it
MT4 / MT5Not included. Download an .ex4 or .mq4 into MQL4/Indicators (MQL5/Indicators on MT5), restart
TradingViewIn the indicator list as "WaveTrend"
Browser (Formiq)In the indicator list, with channel and average periods adjustable

How this was measured

ItemValue
PairUSD/JPY
Period2025-01-01 to 2025-12-31 (2024 run identically for comparison)
Timeframes15-minute / 1-hour / 4-hour
Bars tested6,226 hourly bars in 2025; 24,903 on 15-minute, 1,610 on 4-hour
Buywt1 crosses above wt2, filled at that bar's close
Sellwt1 crosses below wt2
ExitThe opposite crossover only — no stop, no target, no time exit
Costs0.3 pip spread, zero slippage, 0.1 lot
Combinations6 channel periods (5–30) × 5 average periods (10–45) = 30
MethodExecuted in Formiq's backtester; pips recomputed from each trade's fill prices

Notes

  • One pair, two years
  • WaveTrend implementations differ (the constants used to standardize the deviation, the smoothing type). These figures come from Formiq's
  • Only the two-line crossover is tested; overbought and oversold bands such as ±60 are not
  • Entries and exits both fill at bar closes
  • The spread is modeled as a flat 0.3 pips; the 15-minute result depends heavily on that
  • Four-hour settings trade 147 to 325 times a year

Questions people ask

What are the best WaveTrend settings?
On hourly bars in 2025, the 20/15 setting produced +3,496.9 pips from 747 trades and the default 10/21 produced +3,283.4 pips from 867 trades, a 213.5-pip difference. In 2024, the default produced +1,076.6 pips and 20/15 produced +606.9 pips.
Which timeframe suits WaveTrend?
Hourly and four-hour. All 30 settings were profitable on hourly bars in 2025 with 24 profitable in both years, and 29 of 30 were profitable in both years on four-hour bars. On 15-minute bars, none were: that version trades about 3,600 times a year.
What does WaveTrend measure?
How far the bar midpoint sits from its own moving average, divided by the average size of that gap. Standardizing the deviation produces two lines, and trades come from their crossings.
What win rate does WaveTrend produce?
Across the 30 hourly settings in 2025, win rates ran from 33.48% to 39.45%, with a median of 36.9%. Annual net ranged from +1,339.6 to +3,496.9 pips, so win rate alone did not identify the larger result.
Is WaveTrend built into MetaTrader?
No, neither MT4 nor MT5 includes it. You download an .ex4 or .mq4 into MQL4/Indicators (MQL5/Indicators on MT5) and restart. TradingView lists it as "WaveTrend". Formiq's charts include it with both parameters adjustable.

Formiq is a free browser-based FX terminal with replay practice and no-code backtesting. Open the chart or see what the free plan includes.